Top Ten Losers in the Kung Flu Pandepanic

antivirus10. Bureaucrats. Our regulatory regime is costing lives. The early administrative failings of the FDA and Centers for Disease Control, which greatly worsened the crisis in the United States, show how ugly that can be.

 9. Democrats. The Democratic leadership in Washington, led by Pelosi and  Schumer, is using the pandemic to try to further a “far-left agenda that has nothing whatsoever to do with the coronavirus pandemic.” Some of the items: gifts to unions, expanded wind and solar tax credits, and a $15 federal minimum wage.

 8. Globalization. The belief that globalization, through the radical centralization of market networks, was the unavoidable path forward has been exposed as a grave, near-delusional miscalculation.

7. Elites. Here are some people who are useless, especially now: Performance artists, diversity consultants, magic crystal healers, sociology TAs, members of the mainstream media, and gender-unspecified entities who brew kale kombucha.

 6. Socialized Medicine. An Israeli doctor working in the northern Italian city of Parma, told Israeli TV that the number of patients is continuing to grow and that authorities are not allowing those over 60 who are ill access to respiratory machines.

 5. Media. The assorted paleo-virtue signalers and candidates for anger management training that comprise the White House press corps have, as if it were possible, humiliated themselves more than ever, almost beyond recognition.

 4. Open Borders. European officials working on a migration overhaul that will affect borderless travel say that the virus is at the very least a setback for their efforts, as it offers populists another opportunity to underline the importance of national border controls.

 3. Urbanization. COVID-19 should prompt some reflection on our vulnerabilities and how to limit them in the future. One in particular bears rethinking: our ever-growing urban concentration and dependence on high-density, centrally managed mass transit.

2. Decadence, Though medical facilities may soon become overtaxed for everyone, the coronavirus pandemic has shed light on how transgender people’s care can be treated as ‘non-essential.

And the No. 1casualty of the Xi Jinping Grungies …

1. Idiots. Health officials warn aganst self-medicating with chloroquine for Coronavirus after man dies from taking fish tank cleaner.

~ Kilig Uitwaaien

The mathematics of the Chinese Flu

einstein[Editor’s Note: We are not permitted to call the Wuhan Virus the Wuhan Virus because that would be cismisogynistic or something. So this blog is referring to it as the Chinese Flu.]

For those so inclined, we can reduce the virus to numbers.

How canceled events and self-quarantines save lives, in one chart

A disastrous inundation of hospitals can likely be averted with protective measures we’re now seeing more of — closing schools, canceling mass gatherings, working from home, self-quarantine, self-isolation, avoiding crowds — to keep the virus from spreading fast.

Epidemiologists call this strategy of preventing a huge spike in cases “flattening the curve,” and it looks like this:

chart

The Elegant Mathematics of Social Distancing.

From a mathematical perspective, determining how big a crowd is safe depends on a couple of key questions: How many people in a given area are infected with the disease? And how big is the event? If you know those things, you can estimate the probability of someone getting infected at the event. An elegant “Covid-19 Event Risk Assessment Planner” by the Georgia Tech quantitative biologist Joshua Weitz makes the following calculation: If, say, 20,000 cases of infection are actively circulating the US (far more than are known so far), and you host a dinner party for 10 folks, there’s a 0.061 percent chance that an attendee will be infected. But if you attend a 10,000-person hockey match, there’s a 45 percent chance.

COVID-19 Event Risk Assessment Planner

The mathematics for calculating the probability of exposure given the number of carriers in a population and group size aren’t difficult but they can be surprising. Even a low number of carriers can generate a relatively high probability for reasonably sized groups. For example, assume you run a firm of 1000 people in the San Francisco Bay Area (population 8 million.) Let’s suppose that there are just 500 carriers in the area. In this case, assuming random draws, the probability that at least one of your employees is a carrier is 6%. You can run your own calculations at Wolfram Alpha following this format:

p=8000000, c=500, g=1000, 1-1(1-c/p)^g //N

where p is the population size, c is the number of carriers, g is the group size and the //N at the end isn’t a division but a command to Wolfram Alpha to give you a numerical answer.

Coronavirus expert says he knows when the virus ‘will burn itself out,’ according to leaked analysis

“Sunlight will cut the virus’ ability to grow in half so the half-life will be 2.5 minutes and in the dark it’s about 13 to 20 [minutes],” Nicholls said. “Sunlight is really good at killing viruses.” For that reason, he also added that he doesn’t expect areas such as Australia, Africa and the Southern hemisphere to see high rates of infection because they are in the middle of summer.

Regarding temperatures, Nicholls said the warmer the better for stopping the spread of the virus, according to the transcript of the conference call. “The virus can remain intact at 4 degrees (39 degrees Fahrenheit) or 10 degrees (50 F) for a longer period of time,” Nicholls said, referring to Celsius measurements, according to the transcript. “But at 30 degrees (86 degrees F) then you get inactivation. And high humidity — the virus doesn’t like it either,” he added, the transcript of the call showed.

How long can the new coronavirus last on surfaces?

How long can the new coronavirus linger on surfaces, anyway? The short answer is, we don’t know. A new analysis found that the virus can remain viable in the air for up to 3 hours, on copper for up to 4 hours, on cardboard up to 24 hours and on plastic and stainless steel up to 2 to 3 days. However, this studyhas not yet yet been peer-reviewed.

Another study concluded that if this new coronavirus resembles other human coronaviruses, such as its “cousins” that cause SARS and MERS, it can stay on surfaces — such as metal, glass or plastic — for as long as nine days (In comparison, flu viruses can last on surfaces for only about 48 hours.)

Ohio Official Who Claimed 100,000 Covid-19 Cases in the State Says She Was ‘Guesstimating’

The director of Ohio’s Department of Health, Amy Acton, shocked a lot of people on Thursday when she said in a press conference that she believed 100,000 Ohioans had already contracted Covid-19. The Columbus Dispatch offered effusive praise of Acton for being a “voice of knowledge.” What an incredible human being, to let her humanity “shine through” like that. Brings a tear to my eye, it does. But Director Acton forgot to mention a small detail about her Apocalypse Now statement; it wasn’t true.

~ Calash

Your eating is destroying the planet!

milk

Why cockroach milk is the new health obsession.The extraction process is very difficult and the scientists need to use a scalpel to cut out the cockroach’s midgut where the brood sac is located with the milk. Moreover, in order to produce 100 grams of cockroach milk, the scientists need to kill a thousand of cockroaches. But the idea of drinking cockroach milk could be appealing, and also for the ones who wish to switch to more sustainable, environmentally friendly food sources.

How produce stickers contribute to climate change. The stickers are too small to be screened out in the waste sorting process, but don’t break down during composting. Antler said they end up sprinkled as “foreign matter” through the finished product — compost that’s destined to be used to enrich soils in places such as gardens, farmland and parks. The stickers aren’t toxic and don’t harm the compost — although presumably they add microplastics to the environment — so it’s mostly a cosmetic issue,

So it turns out tofu and all these other vegan foods are ruining the planet. So it turns out almond milk is actually really damaging the planet. It’s putting tonnes of pressure on bees causing them to die and 130 pints of water are needed to produce just one glass of wholesome almond milk. And now you thought ok well I’ll change to oat milk and I’m still being really good to the planet because I eat tofu instead of chicken. Well turns out tofu is pretty bad too.

People think ‘butter’ made from insects tastes as good as the real thing, study claims. Researcher Daylan Tzompa-Sosa explained, “The ecological footprint of an insect is much smaller compared to animal-based food sources. Besides, we can grow insects in large quantities in Europe, which also reduces the footprint of transport. After all, palm fat is often imported from outside of Europe.”

Gas Companies Want to Recycle Your Manure. So what’s the main source of recycled methane that gas companies are beginning to cash in on? It boils down to manure, from humans and animals. “Poop is gold today,” Randy Jordan, owner of a Massachusetts dairy farm, recently explained.

~ Feuilleton

Creat your own infection intercepts

plaguePresident Trump urges all of us to be calm about the coronavirus.

“We’re prepared and we’re doing a great job with it and it will go away, just stay calm,” Trump said, “Everybody has to be vigilant and has to be careful but be calm, it’s really working out, and a lot of good things are going to happen.”

I tend to agree. The reason is that we, along with millions of individuals, families, businesses, churches, nursing homes, hospitals and government agencies, are doing everything we know to do.

Personally, we have suspended attending our church dinners, we wash our hands a lot, we don’t plan to travel, and we started using a grocery service that doesn’t require us to enter the store.

We could label each activity an Infection Intercept Point — IIP, if I were a government bureaucrat. Right now millions of IIPs are being put in place.

Remember: Not too long ago we were worried that we Americans are too clean, that our obsession with killing germs was actually making us sicker.

Megan McArdle, a fine reporter, writes in The Washington Post:

Despite early exposure, Singapore and Hong Kong have kept their caseloads low, not by completely shutting down large swaths of their economies as China did but through aggressive personal hygiene and “social distancing.” South Korea seems to be getting its initial outbreak under control using similar measures. If we do the same, we can not only keep our hospitals from overloading but also buy researchers time to develop vaccines and therapies.

She encourages you to create your own IIPs.

We are all in this together. It is your responsibility to keep America safe by following the CDC guidelines, just as much as it is House Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s or President Trump’s responsibility to lead us to safety. And until this virus is beaten, we all need to act like it.

Wash your hands!

~ Faute d’Mieux

The Passing Parade: Down under edition

donuts

Find yourself a good position on the curb.

The police were jealous. Police in Oregon say a man robbed a doughnut shop with a hatchet. He was found eating a doughnut.

Hate it when that happens. ‘FBI’ star Derek Hedlund nearly loses leg in New Jersey crab attack

Down under in more ways than one. Amid coronavirus panic, Australian newspaper prints extra pages because of toilet paper shortage

Going down under. Spain builds submarine 70 tons too heavy after putting a decimal in the wrong place

Well, it is Florida. Florida Man Friday: Park Closed for Snake Orgy

This doesn’t relieve my anxiety. The Causal Link Between Getting Gonorrhea and Voting for Hillary Clinton May Be Incidental

But they should be. Woman addicted to eating baby powder wants others to know ‘they are not alone’

~ Quidnunc

How we’ve avoided rampant unemployment

moneysWe’ve heard repeatedly over the years that technology will throw many, if not most, of us out of work.

What’s actually happening is that, as our economy became super-productive, we began inventing things for people to do. For money.

Look at the scientists as an example. Presumably the following are being paid, and likely by taxpayers.

Daddy, what do you do for a living? Honey, I decode bee dance moves. Daddy, I want to be like you when I grow up.

~ Natheless

The Observers: Stupid people, plastic panic

stupidInteresting perspecives on issues of the day.

The Perverse Panic over Plastic. The plastic panic has never made any sense, and it’s intensifying even as evidence mounts that it’s not only a waste of money but also harmful to the environment, not to mention humans. It’s been a movement in search of a rationale for half a century.

The Case for Professors of Stupidity. One of the painful things about our time is that those who feel certainty are stupid, and those with any imagination and understanding are filled with doubt and indecision. By now this phenomenon has been demonstrated even for everyday tasks, about which individuals have likely received substantial feedback regarding their level of knowledge and skill. Humans have shown a tendency, in other words, to be a bit thick about even the most mundane things, like how well they drive.

Reaching Peak Progressivism. Barack Obama recalibrated the Democratic Party’s liberalism into progressive radicalism. He opened the border and all but dismantled existing immigration law. Sanctuary cities sprang up with impunity. Executive orders bypassed the Congress. Obama sought to nationalize healthcare. The concept of “diversity” replaced affirmative action by redefining racial oppression as distinct from historical grievance and economic disparity and instead lumping together 30 percent of the population as nonwhite, and thus antithetical to the new buzz construct of “white privilege.”

The Coming Violence of the Left. As Eric Hoffer pointed out, mass movements need an enemy and the Left has always had the struggle as an essential element of their identity. It’s why they have invented things like institutional racism and white privilege. Lacking anything resembling actual racism in modern America, and faced with a tsunami of anti-white sermonizing, they have been forced to invent a boogeyman. Like shamans of the past, the modern Left warns about evil spirits, but now they are called unconscious bias and extremism.

Truth, beauty and the creeping hand of totalitarianism. The witch-hunting of Scruton. Notre Dame is as beautiful as anything anyone has built since in the West. It’s clear that in what we call the Middle Ages they knew things we have forgotten; like the effect of beauty and nature on people’s spirits. They built garden courtyards into hospitals where people could sit as they struggled with illness. They knew that our surroundings can make us feel more well, or less ill; plants, gardens, waterfalls, greenery, colour, beauty in general.

~ Fanfaronade